TRUMP vs. BIDEN | 2024 Election Map Based on New Polling Averages

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Let’s fill out a 2024 presidential election map based on the latest polling averages in every state, and then compare it to the same map I made in January to see if there are any noticeable changes in the all-important race to 270 electoral votes.

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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.

This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University’s School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.

Hashtags: #2024election #joebiden #donaldtrump

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39 COMMENTS

  1. Tbh this is no surprise. Whether something was off in the 2020 elections, or it was simply a blow back from the negatives of Trump, Joe Biden has destroyed any chance to win again and will never get a second term in Office.

    I personally think, like I always knew, 2024 won't even be a race, it will be a massacre. trump will win and if he some how doesn't I will 100% be convinced something very off is going on and that the democracy of the free world has been criminally compromised.

  2. I am not following why the more educated would vote for Biden in this election. Biden's mental capacity has been in decline since he was elected in 2020. We all know his condition is not going to get better. Are you saying that all the more educated cheated at school to get their diploma and degrees and they are all blind? That's a serious insult to the more educated.

  3. Ryan Gest does not come up on Wikipedia or anywhere else besides right here and a few other MAGA infested sites. There is zero information about his background. Very Russian appearance.

  4. Ryan Gest is the one and only person responsible for this channel and these numbers. Sounds very Putinesque. Putin wins by near 90 % with a disastrous economy, no jobs and near half a million war dead and a losing war. How did Putin do this. Did he have polls like this? Who the Hell is Ryan Gest? Trump serms to have quite a few supporters who have nearly no online identity.

  5. This country is full of idiots! Go vote for trump to get your nickel knocked off of eggs. See how it all works out for you in the long term. Im not crazy about biden but hes a hell of alot better then that spray tanned lying POS trump

  6. What i think is just weird is that Trump was leading multiple states by a sizeable magin and ptu fo nowhwre at 3am Biden jump up, like when i went to bed Trump was up 50,000 votes in Virginia so i was shocked to see that flipped when i woke up

  7. Rather than Trump getting stronger in the vital states, it’s probably people losing faith in Biden? Out of over 200 million adults in the USA, why can’t we get some better candidates? I mean are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris the best the Democrats can do? Kamala Harris couldn’t run anything! Could she??

  8. John Brandon weakest and slowest president in US History. Remember in Philadelphia when he said, "War veterans were a threat to democracy" Hes the threat to democracy by destroying our country.

  9. Sdh dikatakan meski Trump keras dan vocal tapi dia berusaha hindari konfrontasi senjata apalagi dng russia , satu hal yg jauh dr pikiran dia , sejarah menulis memang demokrat bnyk timbulkan perang dmn2 ,….beda republik

  10. Just find a way to not include illegal immigrants for voting, why does everyone think biden opened borders? Not to mention biden could close the problem closing the borders, has he? Nope, hes made promises to immigrants before they got here, he wants more votes, and he will if something is not done about illegal immigrants voting rights. THEY SHOULD HAVE NO SAY, NO RIGHTS TO VOTE WHAT SO EVER

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